Sun 26-Jun-11 04:32 PM | edited Mon 27-Jun-11 12:18 AM by ZoneV
Many of you know that I make a post like this every year or so. The last time I did one was last September, and since then, Nikon has introuced a bunch of great lenses. The Nikkor lineup is very strong now. However, only a few of the lenses actually introduced since my last post were ones I predicted.
So this time, I am going to do it slightly differently. Instead of listing what I think Nikon should introduce over the next five years, I'm going to say what I think they will introduce. I'm leaving out DX lenses. That's not because I don't care about them; I just don't have as much insight into that lineup as with FX. I've also left out the handful of manual focus Nikkors which (contrary to the knowledge of many people) continue to be produced.
Existing lenses that will remain in the lineup are listed in black or white text (depending on how you have your site preferences set). New lenses are in red. As usual, the lower the number, the sooner the lens will be introduced. I have no inside iinformation whatsoever. It's just an educated guess of what Nikon will introduce. Primes are listed first and then zooms in a second list. As you can see, the short to medium telephoto range is the part of the lineup that needs the bulk of the work. Most of the lenses in that range are quite old now.
Number in parentheses directly following lens name indicates priority of introduction; (R) indicates lens replaces an existing lens as a direct replacement, adding features or improving specs. (N1) indicates a new lens added to the lineup. (N2) indicates a new lens that is similar in spec to a lens Nikon made in the past or still makes (such as 50/1.2 AIS (sill made) or 400/5.6 AIS (made in the past).
14/2.8 D ED 16/2.8 D 17/4 D PC-E ED N (7) (N1) 20/2.8 D 24/1.4 G ED N AF-S 24/2.8 D 24/3.5 D PC-E ED N II (9) (R) 28/2.8 D 35/1.4 G ED N AF-S 35/2 D 45/2.8 D PC-E ED N II (13) (R) 50/1.2 G ED N AF-S (11) (N2) 50/1.4 G AF-S 50/1.8 G AF-S 60/2.8 G ED N AF-S micro 85/1.4 G N AF-S 85/1.8 G ED AF-S (3) (R) 85/2.8 D PC-E ED N II (17) (R) 105/1.8 G ED N AF-S (8) (R) 105/2.8 G ED N AF-S VR micro 135/2 G ED N AF-S (10) (R) 180/2.8 G ED N AF-S VR II (12) (R) 200/2 G ED N AF-S VR II 200/4 micro G ED N AF-S VR II (4) (R) 300/2.8 G ED N AF-S VR II 300/4 G ED N AF-S VR II (2) (R) 400/2.8 G ED N AF-S VR (II) 400/5.6 G ED N AF-S VR II (14) (N2) 500/4 G ED N AF-S VR (II) 600/4 G ED N AF-S VR (II) 800/5.6 G ED N AF-S VR II (19) (N2)
14-24/2.8 G AF-S ED 16-35/4 G AF-S ED 17-35/2.8 D AF-S ED 18-35/3.5-4.5 D ED 24-70/2.8 G ED N AF-S VR II (6) (R) 24-85/2.8-4 D ED 24-120/4 G AF-S ED VR II 28-300/3.5-5.6 G AF-S ED VR II 70-200/2.8 G AF-S ED N VR II 70-200/4 G AF-S ED N VR II (5) (N2) 80-200/2.8 D ED 70-300/4-5.6 G ED N AF-S VR II (15) (R) (70-300 G budget lens: discontinued due to redundancy with similar DX lenses) 80-400/4-5.6 G ED N AF-S VR II (1) (R) 150-300/2.8-4 G ED N AF-S VR II (18) (N1) 200-400/4 G ED AF-S VR II
Nice list! But with the strong lineup of FX primes and zooms that Nikon has already established in recent years, I think we may get 2 or 3 more if we're lucky (i.e. 80-400, 135/2) and then they will be done and for a few years focus on DX and the new mirrorless system they said they're working on. That's the vast majority of the market, and probably much more essential for Nikon's economic future than another revision of PC-E lenses.
>...I think we may get 2 or 3 more if we're lucky (i.e. 80-400, >135/2).
As for PC-E lenses, it's not a huge priority, however, Nikon's lenses are restricted compared to Canon's (which offer shift in 2 axes).
Since I made the original post, Thom Hogan has posted on this subject at his website (he gets tips from people in the know):
"FX Lenses: 80-400mm, 200mm Micro-Nikkor replacements (or close substitutes), 50mm f/1.2, maybe one or two other lenses from a list of about four that have been worked on (17mm PC-E, one of three or four different prime updates, other medium zoom, other tele zoom)" credit: http://bythom.com/
To my photography need and style, I feel what Nikon's line up is good enough. But I agree if Nikon can upgrade some lenses with VR and Nano coating, plus silence motor if cost can be controlled. My 2 cents - W
The 80-400 replacement doesn't fit with this announcement, which is generally pro-level. If it does show up with these cameras, it's probably an accident. Same with the 85/f1.8, and possibly the 70-200/f4 although the latter could be justified.
I DO think they will offer the 200/f4 AFS Micro. They've been turning over all of the macro lenses, and this is the only one left. The Micro lenses haven't really been in need of updates, but we've now gotten four in the past four or five years...
_____ Brian... a bicoastal Nikonian and Team Member
My gallery is online. Comments and critique welcomed any time!
I miss my Canon 200mm f/2.8L and see the Nikon 180mm as the alternative since I switched platforms. I hope to get a 180mm f/2.8 for my upcoming birthday and retire the weighty 80-200mm AF-D. Like you, I think it would be nice if they would update to AF-S.
While I'm wishing, update the 28mm 2.8 AF-D to 28mm 1.8 AF-S. I love my Sigma 28mm 1.8, but would switch in a heartbeat to a direct Nikon equivalent.