Sun 17-Feb-13 05:51 PM | edited Sun 17-Feb-13 05:53 PM by nrothschild
If Nikon ever does put EFV/mirrorless into a DSLR, I would expect it to be in the 3xxx or 5xxx line first. Might sound counter-intuitive but economies of scale are important for new technology. They will always sell many more 3xxx and 5xxx cameras than a D400, both in units and dollars.
I suspect that is the reason they started their 24 mpx conversion at the low end. It should be a lot easier to amortize the costs when they get around to a D400 (if they ever do).
I seriously doubt a D400 would have more or less than 24mpx. No less, because the market as a whole would not stand for a "lower resolution" ~$2K DX camera now, when even the entry level $600 camera has it, and everything in between.
No more because I think they more than have their hands full delivering the 8fps bandwidth many want *and* the 24 mpx most would really want.
I think the idea of a major evolution such as mirror-less and/or EVF is an interesting idea, but if it were the first, it would be a very expensive change. We seem to be having great difficulty convincing Nikon to basically just stick their standard 24 mpx sensor in the D300s and call it a day. Anything more is is, I think, simply unrealistic in the extreme.
It also might hurt sales, or at least early sales. I for one would not want to be an early adopter of EVF. I would want to see others prove it in the real world, and most importantly my real world where I would use that camera. I don't think I am alone on that, and it would not bode well for a dramatic and high volume roll-out.