>what sensor are they going to use? The 24MP from the D3200?? >I don't know how it would fly to have your new sports camera >use the same sensor as your entry level DSLR.
Very funny Perrone.
In the old days, sensor tech was introduced at the top of the line and it tricked down to lower-end bodies. How well does the current situation fly, where the more expensive DX body = older, lower tech sensor? A look at D300s sales, which is technically still a current body, answers the question. And D7000 can't be far behind.
Anyway, I'm not saying you're wrong, I'm just saying you can't figure things out by applying common sense, to a situation that makes no sense in the first place.
As far as identifying who exactly this market is, think of the enthusiast bird watcher. We aren't making any money off our shots, so there's a limit to how much money we'd spend on equipment. That means, we're already using the longest practical lens, and typically cropping shots from our DX cameras. That means, there is no advantage whatsoever to be gained from FX, since we're cropping anyway. We're already using the TC, so we can't simply add it. What the D300(s) offered us is a high frame rate, deep buffer, top-of-the-line AF system, and high pixel density, in a way that hasn't been equaled by any of Nikon's subsequent body offerings (the D800 with grip probably comes closest).
If Nikon was able to offer a $1800 package, 5 years ago, that fit the bill and sold as well as the D300 did, why can't they roll new tech into a similar package today? I'm perfectly willing to accept that the answer may be, Nikon doesn't see a big enough market for it. We are, after all, the same people who'd really love an AF-S 80-400mm f/4-5.6 VRII. Expect these products to be announced together (on the day hell freezes over).