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It's really not that simple. Often, Nikon doesn't directly replace one SLR with another, but comes in and brackets the old one with two new ones, and then eventually discontinues the old one. This appears to be what they're doing with the D700. The D800 comes in just above it, and rumors say the D600 is coming just below it. If this is the case, I don't think they will replace the D700 with a third SLR; they will just discontinue it. They did this same thing with the D100, using the D200 just above it and the D70 just below it (though not in that order of announcement). Basically, it's a way for Nikon to reposition an SLR in their lineup without discontinuing something outright and risking adverse reactions from buyers. They did the same thing with the N90s. The F100 came in just above it, while the N80 came in just below it. And the N90s was eventually discontinued.
In all practicality, the D800 is the closest effective replacement for the D700, just as the D200 was to the D100 and the F100 was to the N90s. Do they align perfectly? No. But the D200 was a lot closer to the D100 than the D70 was to the D100.
Edit: I'm guessing the new lineup by year's end will be:
D3200, D5100, D7000, D400, D600, D800, D3x, D4.
Compare to the current lineup:
D3100/D3200, D5100, D90, D7000, D300s, D700, D800, D3x, D4. (Yes, all of these are currently still readily available new.) An undeniable paradox: To think that there is any such thing as an absolute rule is at worst naïve, and at best, shortsighted. There is no such thing as an always-true, all context- or situation-salient, absolute rule that always holds true…including this one!
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