I'd like to have a crystal ball too.... Still the latest version (3.4.1.) has corrected quite a lot of things and noise management is now better then in LR 4 (I have the two of them). The only left over point would be (for me ) the lens correction module. PTLens or other add-ons sort of gets you out of Aperture (another window, etc.) So I'm not so ure it's dying, but I agree that it's definitely on some waiting tracks, maybe because of iPads popularity, those big number crunching softwares are being overtaken by many little quick and dirty (but efficient) apps ?